McGilvra is a Democratic stronghold. About 76% of voters here vote Democratic and 24% Republican.
About 75% of adults in McGilvra typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in McGilvra, ~57% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How McGilvra compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, McGilvra leans more Democratic than 7 of 25 neighbors.
McGilvra runs about 34 points more Democratic than Washington as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within McGilvra. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+59) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+45), a spread of about 13 points.
Why McGilvra leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for McGilvra, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 78% of adults in McGilvra hold a bachelor's degree, about 50 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; McGilvra, Mercer Island, WA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in McGilvra looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. McGilvra is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in McGilvra have completed high school, above 94% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Mercer Heights, Mercer Island, WA D+48
- Downtown Seattle, Seattle, WA D+53
- Meydenbauer, Bellevue, WA D+45
- Mt. Baker, Seattle, WA D+73
- Leschi, Seattle, WA D+78
- Atlantic, Seattle, WA D+73
- Seward Park, Seattle, WA D+74
- Madrona, Seattle, WA D+84
- Columbia City, Seattle, WA D+71
- Central District, Seattle, WA D+80
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Sharon Heights, Menlo Park, CA D+63
- Arrowview, San Bernardino, CA D+15
- Hollywood, Munster, IN D+16
- West Willow, Ypsilanti, MI D+70
- Carlen, Mobile, AL Even
- Denny Whitford, Beaverton, OR D+43
- Hedrick Acres, Tucson, AZ D+53
- Goshen, Augusta, GA D+9
- Williamson Road, Roanoke, VA D+21
- Center Square, Albany, NY D+75
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.