Groveton leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Groveton typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Groveton, ~44% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Groveton compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Groveton leans more Democratic than 5 of 17 neighbors.
Groveton runs about 43 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Groveton. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+58) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+43), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Groveton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Groveton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 47% of adults in Groveton have never been married, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 29%.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Groveton, Alexandria, VA sits above the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Groveton looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 10% of homes in Groveton have more than one occupant per room, above 91% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Belle Haven, Belle View, VA D+45
- Hybla Valley, Alexandria, VA D+43
- Rose Hill, Alexandria, VA D+42
- Eisenhower East, Alexandria, VA D+52
- Southwest Quadrant, Alexandria, VA D+62
- Woodlawn, Alexandria, VA D+47
- Taylor Run, Alexandria, VA D+50
- Old Town, Alexandria, VA D+54
- Mt Vernon, Mount Vernon, VA D+35
- Braddock Road Metro, Alexandria, VA D+65
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Mandarin Station-Losco, Jacksonville, FL R+24
- Florida Center North, Orlando, FL D+24
- Walker Mill, District Heights, MD D+86
- East Central, Spokane, WA D+24
- Squirrel Hill North, Pittsburgh, PA D+69
- Midway, St. Paul, MN D+67
- Pershing, Detroit, MI D+86
- North Coconut Grove, Miami, FL D+13
- Glen Park, Gary, IN D+79
- North Hayward, Hayward, CA D+42
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.