Mosherville leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Mosherville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mosherville, ~34% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mosherville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mosherville leans more Republican than 41 of 110 neighbors.
Mosherville runs about 31 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Mosherville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Mosherville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mosherville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 88% of residents in Mosherville drive to work alone, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Mosherville are family households, above 83% of cities. Mosherville runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Mosherville, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Mosherville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Mosherville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in Mosherville own their home, above 80% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- East Galway, NY R+19
- Galway, NY R+23
- West Galway, NY R+20
- West Milton, NY R+22
- West Charlton, NY R+12
- Hagedorns Mills, NY R+30
- Harmony Corners, NY R+14
- Rock City Falls, NY R+25
- Middle Grove, NY R+16
- Hagaman, NY R+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dunlap, CA R+45
- Braswell, GA R+71
- Red Mills, NY R+35
- Scammon, KS R+53
- Pilger, NE R+68
- Rattan, OK R+80
- Caddo Gap, AR R+74
- Rose, ID R+66
- Raven Rocks, WV R+64
- Dill City, OK R+77
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.