Natrona County leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Natrona County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Natrona County, ~21% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Natrona County compares
Natrona County runs about 5 points more Democratic than Wyoming as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Natrona County. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+73) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+32), a spread of about 40 points.
Why Natrona County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Natrona County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Natrona County votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 71%, far above the Wyoming average of 12%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Natrona County, WY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Natrona County looks the way it does
Turnout in Natrona County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Converse County, WY R+66
- Platte County, WY R+65
- Carbon County, WY R+57
- Niobrara County, WY R+90
- Johnson County, WY R+60
- Campbell County, WY R+65
- Hot Springs County, WY R+57
- Albany County, WY D+12
- Washakie County, WY R+64
- Fremont County, WY R+32
Counties with Similar Populations
- Putnam County, TN R+43
- Clinton County, NY R+5
- Hancock County, IN R+36
- Umatilla County, OR R+34
- Kosciusko County, IN R+47
- Bedford County, VA R+43
- Floyd County, IN R+18
- Clearfield County, PA R+46
- Caldwell County, NC R+47
- Clinton County, MI R+12
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wyoming Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.