Rosedale is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Rosedale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Rosedale, ~19% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Rosedale compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Rosedale is the most Republican-leaning.
Rosedale runs about 73 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Rosedale is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Rosedale. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+67) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+43), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Rosedale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Rosedale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican, and Rosedale sits in the bottom quarter on developed land relative to similar places. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Rosedale are family households, above 88% of neighborhoods. Rosedale runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Rosedale, Bakersfield, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Rosedale looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 87% of households in Rosedale own their home, about 25 points above the California average of 62%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Emerald Estates, Bakersfield, CA R+42
- Seven Oaks at Grand Island, Bakersfield, CA R+22
- Seven Oaks, Bakersfield, CA R+28
- Tevis Ranch, Bakersfield, CA R+17
- Stockdale Greens, Bakersfield, CA R+15
- Haggin Oaks, Bakersfield, CA R+19
- Fruitvale, Bakersfield, CA R+34
- The Oaks, Bakersfield, CA R+22
- Olive Drive Area, Bakersfield, CA R+42
- Terra Vista, Bakersfield, CA R+7
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Noe Valley, San Francisco, CA D+82
- Manoa, Honolulu, HI D+44
- San Luis Rey, Oceanside, CA D+11
- Nob Hill, San Francisco, CA D+62
- Mililani Mauka-Launani Valley, Mililani, HI D+16
- Flour Bluff, Corpus Christi, TX R+31
- Central Arlington, Arlington, TX D+25
- Mountain View, El Monte, CA D+28
- Rose Hill, Alexandria, VA D+42
- Kalihi Valley, Honolulu, HI D+11
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.