North Growth Area leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 60% of adults in North Growth Area typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Growth Area, ~21% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Growth Area compares
North Growth Area runs about 48 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while North Growth Area is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within North Growth Area. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+24), a spread of about 13 points.
Why North Growth Area leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Growth Area, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
North Growth Area votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while North Growth Area runs about 48 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 74% of households in North Growth Area are family households, above 76% of neighborhoods.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; North Growth Area, Fresno, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in North Growth Area looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. North Growth Area is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Woodward Park, Fresno, CA R+7
- Hoover, Fresno, CA D+12
- Harlan Ranch, Clovis, CA R+17
- Bullard, Fresno, CA D+4
- McLane, Fresno, CA D+10
- Fresno-High, Fresno, CA D+23
- West, Fresno, CA D+5
- Central, Fresno, CA D+30
- Southeast Growth Area, Fresno, CA R+34
- Roosevelt, Fresno, CA D+18
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Carver, Mobile, AL D+87
- West Leominster, Leominster, MA D+12
- Heron Bay, San Leandro, CA D+32
- Hembstead, Charlotte, NC D+8
- Glenroy Village, Indianapolis, IN R+15
- Hackensack Riverfront, Jersey City, NJ D+46
- Downtown Fontana, Fontana, CA D+20
- A.C.T., Evansville, IN D+15
- Edmondson Heights, Woodlawn, MD D+81
- Lockmar Estates, Palm Bay, FL R+15
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.