Southeast Growth Area leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Southeast Growth Area typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Southeast Growth Area, ~18% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Southeast Growth Area compares
Southeast Growth Area runs about 54 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Southeast Growth Area is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Southeast Growth Area. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+39) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Southeast Growth Area leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Southeast Growth Area, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Southeast Growth Area votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Southeast Growth Area runs about 54 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Southeast Growth Area sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 41%, below 90% of neighborhoods). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Southeast Growth Area are family households, above 82% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Southeast Growth Area, Fresno, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Southeast Growth Area looks the way it does
Turnout in Southeast Growth Area sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Roosevelt, Fresno, CA D+18
- McLane, Fresno, CA D+10
- Harlan Ranch, Clovis, CA R+17
- Hoover, Fresno, CA D+12
- Central, Fresno, CA D+30
- Edison, Fresno, CA D+37
- Fresno-High, Fresno, CA D+23
- Woodward Park, Fresno, CA R+7
- North Growth Area, Fresno, CA R+28
- Bullard, Fresno, CA D+4
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Northwood Hills, West Palm Beach, FL D+61
- Downtown West, Gary, IN D+84
- Woodcrest, Coon Rapids, MN D+12
- Royal Ridge, San Antonio, TX D+9
- Doffing, Mission, TX R+5
- College Creek, Ames, IA D+25
- Woodside Cotton Mill Historic District, Parker, SC D+36
- Meadow Park, Rochester, MN D+13
- Parkmont, Fremont, CA D+36
- Capitol Hill, Oklahoma City, OK D+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.