North Hill Historic District, New Castle, PA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in North Hill Historic District

North Hill Historic District leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.

 
North Hill Historic District, New Castle, PA block-group political-lean map
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D+100 D+50 Even R+50 R+100
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About 59% of adults in North Hill Historic District typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Hill Historic District, ~28% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

North Hill Historic District, New Castle, PA block-group voter-turnout map
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30% 50% 70% 90%
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Colorblind friendly off

How North Hill Historic District compares

Politically, North Hill Historic District sits close to the rest of Pennsylvania.

Politics vary noticeably by block within North Hill Historic District. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+17), a spread of about 27 points.

Why North Hill Historic District leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Hill Historic District, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In North Hill Historic District, about 81% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; North Hill Historic District, New Castle, PA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in North Hill Historic District looks the way it does

Turnout in North Hill Historic District sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.