Arlington leans heavily Democratic by roughly 44 points: about 72% of voters vote Democratic and 28% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Arlington typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arlington, ~33% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arlington compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Arlington leans more Democratic than 4 of 6 neighbors.
Arlington runs about 55 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole. Ohio leans Republican overall, while Arlington is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Arlington. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+83) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+15), a spread of about 68 points.
Why Arlington leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arlington, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Arlington votes against the grain of Ohio. Ohio leans Republican overall, while Arlington runs about 55 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 60% of adults in Arlington have never been married, above 93% of neighborhoods.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Arlington, Youngstown, OH does.
Why turnout in Arlington looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Arlington is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 15 points below the Ohio average of 61%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 78% of households in Arlington rent, compared to around 43% in nearby neighborhoods. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 38% of adults in Arlington report food insecurity, above 91% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Schenley, Youngstown, OH D+11
- Belle Vista, Youngstown, OH D+21
- Kirkmere, Youngstown, OH D+7
- North Heights, Youngstown, OH D+57
- Lansingville, Youngstown, OH D+40
- Landsdowne, Youngstown, OH D+66
- North Hill Historic District, New Castle, PA R+5
- Downtown Kent, Kent, OH D+29
- The Boulevards, Canton, OH D+21
- Ellet, Akron, OH R+4
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Emerald Estates, Bakersfield, CA R+42
- Wyatt Street, Largo, FL D+8
- Heart of Missoula, Missoula, MT D+51
- Hohokam Village, Mesa, AZ D+9
- Victory Hills, Albuquerque, NM D+51
- US Navy Little Creek Amphibious Base, Norfolk, VA D+7
- Martin Luther King, Chattanooga, TN D+36
- Central Business District, Worcester, MA D+42
- Sugar Pond Manor of Wellington, Wellington, FL R+6
- Cherrydale, Arlington, VA D+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.