North Hills is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 56% of adults in North Hills typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Hills, ~29% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Hills compares
North Hills runs about 17 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while North Hills is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within North Hills. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+8) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+6), a spread of about 14 points.
Why North Hills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Hills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
North Hills votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while North Hills runs about 17 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; North Hills, El Paso, TX sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in North Hills looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. North Hills is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Bergen Beach, Brooklyn, NY R+24
- Airline, Houston, TX D+5
- Belmont Heights, Long Beach, CA D+56
- Baymeadows, Jacksonville, FL D+14
- Sandtown-Southeastern Atlanta, Atlanta, GA D+84
- North Burnet, Austin, TX D+45
- salisbury, Allentown, PA R+2
- Lakewood Ranch, Bradenton, FL R+24
- South Lowell, Lowell, MA D+19
- Buckroe, Hampton, VA D+27
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.