North Stonehurst is a Democratic stronghold. About 79% of voters here vote Democratic and 21% Republican.
About 36% of adults in North Stonehurst typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Stonehurst, ~28% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~64% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Stonehurst compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, North Stonehurst leans more Democratic than 18 of 42 neighbors.
North Stonehurst runs about 38 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within North Stonehurst. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+63) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+53), a spread of about 10 points.
Why North Stonehurst leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Stonehurst, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in North Stonehurst live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; North Stonehurst, Oakland, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in North Stonehurst looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. North Stonehurst is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 32% of adults in North Stonehurst report food insecurity, above 85% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Durant Manor, Oakland, CA D+60
- Elmhurst Park, Oakland, CA D+56
- Iveywood, Oakland, CA D+61
- Sobrante Park, Oakland, CA D+52
- Brookfield Village, Oakland, CA D+58
- Cox, Oakland, CA D+61
- Highland, Oakland, CA D+52
- Webster, Oakland, CA D+60
- Castlemont, Oakland, CA D+63
- Estudillo Estates-Glen, San Leandro, CA D+54
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Western Corridor, Green Bay, WI D+15
- Fairmount, Fort Worth, TX D+28
- Stonehaven, Charlotte, NC D+18
- Curtis Park, Sacramento, CA D+66
- Riverdale, Detroit, MI D+84
- Kilbourn Town, Milwaukee, WI D+57
- Crabapple, Milton, GA R+6
- Belle Haven, Menlo Park, CA D+50
- Dearborn Hills, Dearborn, MI Even
- Atlantic City Inlet, Atlantic City, NJ D+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.