Sobrante Park is a Democratic stronghold. About 76% of voters here vote Democratic and 24% Republican.
About 37% of adults in Sobrante Park typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sobrante Park, ~28% vote Democratic, ~9% Republican, and ~63% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sobrante Park compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Sobrante Park leans more Democratic than 10 of 39 neighbors.
Sobrante Park runs about 32 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Sobrante Park. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+66) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+36), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Sobrante Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sobrante Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Sobrante Park live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Sobrante Park, Oakland, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Sobrante Park looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Sobrante Park is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 16% of homes in Sobrante Park have more than one occupant per room, above 97% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Brookfield Village, Oakland, CA D+58
- North Stonehurst, Oakland, CA D+59
- Davis Tract, San Leandro, CA D+36
- Durant Manor, Oakland, CA D+60
- Elmhurst Park, Oakland, CA D+56
- Iveywood, Oakland, CA D+61
- Old San Leandro, San Leandro, CA D+50
- Cox, Oakland, CA D+61
- Highland, Oakland, CA D+52
- Estudillo Estates-Glen, San Leandro, CA D+54
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Strathmore, Syracuse, NY D+48
- Cutten, Eureka, CA D+16
- Thomas Manor, El Paso, TX D+29
- Jacobs, Louisville, KY D+53
- Village at North Hills, Northglenn, CO D+18
- Prairie-Piper-KC-KS, Kansas City, KS R+7
- Rose Village, Vancouver, WA D+30
- Fishkorn, Detroit, MI D+87
- Pettit-Rudisill, Fort Wayne, IN D+61
- Valencia Park, San Diego, CA D+45
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.