Northwest, Garden City, ID Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Northwest

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Northwest is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.

 

About 78% of adults in Northwest typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Northwest, ~40% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Northwest compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Northwest sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 2 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 5 leaning the other way.

Northwest runs about 38 points more Democratic than Idaho as a whole. Idaho leans Republican overall, while Northwest sits closer to the political middle.

Why Northwest leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Northwest, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Northwest votes against the grain of Idaho. Idaho leans Republican overall, while Northwest runs about 38 points more Democratic.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Northwest, Garden City, ID sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Northwest looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Northwest is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Idaho Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.