Oconto County leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Oconto County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oconto County, ~23% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oconto County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Oconto County is the most Republican-leaning.
Oconto County runs about 40 points more Republican than Wisconsin as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Oconto County. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+47) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+35), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Oconto County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oconto County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Oconto County, about 93% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 8 points below the Wisconsin average of 26%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Oconto County, WI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Oconto County looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Oconto County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 86% of households in Oconto County own their home, above 97% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Menominee County, WI D+59
- Marinette County, WI R+34
- Shawano County, WI R+35
- Brown County, WI R+4
- Kewaunee County, WI R+39
- Door County, WI R+3
- Menominee County, MI R+30
- Outagamie County, WI R+13
- Waupaca County, WI R+34
- Langlade County, WI R+35
Counties with Similar Populations
- Crawford County, KS R+28
- Wayne County, WV R+55
- Douglas County, MN R+36
- Des Moines County, IA R+8
- Jim Wells County, TX R+14
- Mayes County, OK R+56
- Union County, AR R+20
- Webster County, MO R+64
- Person County, NC R+24
- Champaign County, OH R+51
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wisconsin Elections Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.