Ovilla leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Ovilla typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ovilla, ~32% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ovilla compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ovilla leans more Republican than 26 of 55 neighbors.
Ovilla runs about 9 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ovilla. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+42), a spread of about 60 points.
Why Ovilla leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ovilla, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Ovilla votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 42%, modestly above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 87% of households in Ovilla are family households, above 98% of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Ovilla, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Ovilla looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 96% of households in Ovilla own their home, about 21 points above the Texas average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Ovilla have completed high school, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Oak Leaf, TX R+14
- Glenn Heights, TX D+44
- DeSoto, TX D+64
- Cedar Hill, TX D+49
- Red Oak, TX R+12
- Midlothian, TX R+42
- Pecan Hill, TX R+44
- Lancaster, TX D+61
- Duncanville, TX D+34
- Waxahachie, TX R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Belden, MS R+37
- Koloa, HI D+25
- Evans City, PA R+33
- Northbridge, MA Even
- Chelan, WA R+21
- Lyndonville, VT R+19
- Iron River, MI R+21
- Post, TX R+24
- Brielle, NJ R+19
- Telford, TN R+69
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.