Terra Ceia leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Terra Ceia typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Terra Ceia, ~31% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Terra Ceia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Terra Ceia leans more Republican than 44 of 52 neighbors.
Terra Ceia runs about 16 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Terra Ceia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Terra Ceia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 78% of households in Terra Ceia are family households, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Terra Ceia, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Terra Ceia looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Terra Ceia is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Terra Ceia own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Memphis, FL D+14
- Palmetto, FL R+18
- West Bradenton, FL R+23
- Gillett, FL R+41
- Ellenton, FL R+19
- South Bradenton, FL R+8
- Piney Point, FL R+41
- Bradenton, FL R+14
- Holmes Beach, FL R+25
- Anna Maria, FL R+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- Copeland, GA R+56
- Idlewood, IL R+46
- Hammond, KS R+64
- Shay, OK R+67
- Trenholm, VA R+37
- Sylvan, PA R+67
- Phelps, MO R+72
- Winn, ME R+38
- Ryceville, MD R+47
- Gresham, MI R+42
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.