Pine Valley leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Pine Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pine Valley, ~25% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pine Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pine Valley leans more Republican than 27 of 30 neighbors.
Pine Valley runs about 55 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Pine Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Pine Valley. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Pine Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pine Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Pine Valley votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Pine Valley runs about 55 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Pine Valley, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Pine Valley looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Pine Valley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Pine Valley own their home, compared to around 76% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Pine Valley have completed high school, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Guatay, CA R+33
- Descanso, CA R+34
- Boulder Oaks, CA R+29
- Mount Laguna, CA R+33
- Campo, CA R+31
- Cameron Corners, CA R+31
- Pine Hills, CA R+13
- Live Oak Springs, CA R+27
- Barrett, CA R+27
- Alpine, CA R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cherry Tree, PA R+63
- Joshua, FL R+43
- Manomet, MA D+21
- Woodland Hills, UT R+63
- Locke, NY R+36
- Fairfax, MN R+51
- Hidden Hills, CA D+3
- Livermore, CO R+15
- Bock, MN R+57
- Vernon, MI R+34
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.