Providence leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Providence typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Providence, ~33% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Providence compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Providence leans more Democratic than 1 of 7 neighbors.
Providence runs about 12 points more Democratic than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Providence. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+13) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Providence leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Providence. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Providence, Scranton, PA sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Providence looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. Providence sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Green Ridge, Scranton, PA D+17
- The Plot, Scranton, PA D+13
- West Side, Scranton, PA D+8
- Downtown, Scranton, PA D+28
- The Hill Section, Scranton, PA D+23
- Petersburg, Scranton, PA D+20
- South Side, Scranton, PA D+16
- Parsons, Wilkes-Barre, PA R+9
- North End, Wilkes-Barre, PA D+16
- Mayflower, Wilkes-Barre, PA D+12
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Read Blvd West, New Orleans, LA D+87
- East Petaluma, Petaluma, CA D+58
- Southside Slopes, Pittsburgh, PA D+42
- Gert Town, New Orleans, LA D+79
- Lincoln Park, Yonkers, NY D+6
- Cypress, Oxnard, CA D+29
- Sunset, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+14
- Bunker Hill, Pottsville, PA R+13
- Canfield Manor, Mount Clemens, MI D+15
- Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, NC D+46
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.