Mission-Foothill leans heavily Democratic by roughly 42 points: about 71% of voters vote Democratic and 29% Republican.
About 43% of adults in Mission-Foothill typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mission-Foothill, ~31% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mission-Foothill compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Mission-Foothill leans more Democratic than 16 of 19 neighbors.
Mission-Foothill runs about 23 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why Mission-Foothill leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Mission-Foothill. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Mission-Foothill, Hayward, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Mission-Foothill looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 12% of homes in Mission-Foothill have more than one occupant per room, above 94% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Jackson Triangle, Hayward, CA D+38
- Burbank-Hayward, Hayward, CA D+42
- Whitman-Mocine, Hayward, CA D+33
- Upper B Street, Hayward, CA D+45
- Santa Clara Street, Hayward, CA D+39
- Hayward Highland, Hayward, CA D+41
- Harder-Tennyson, Hayward, CA D+37
- North Hayward, Hayward, CA D+42
- Southgate, Hayward, CA D+39
- Mission-Garin, Hayward, CA D+43
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.