Tampa International Airport Area is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Tampa International Airport Area typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tampa International Airport Area, ~31% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tampa International Airport Area compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Tampa International Airport Area leans more Republican than 6 of 9 neighbors.
Tampa International Airport Area runs about 9 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Tampa International Airport Area. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+15), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Tampa International Airport Area leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Tampa International Airport Area. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Tampa International Airport Area, Tampa, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Tampa International Airport Area looks the way it does
Turnout in Tampa International Airport Area sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Town 'N Country Park, Town 'n' Country, FL R+9
- Carver City-Lincoln Gardens, Tampa, FL D+23
- Beach Park, Tampa, FL R+11
- Sunset Park, Tampa, FL R+18
- Northeast MacFarlane, Tampa, FL Even
- Plaza Terrace, Tampa, FL D+7
- Oakford Park, Tampa, FL D+8
- Virginia Park, Tampa, FL D+2
- Old West Tampa, Tampa, FL D+39
- Wellswood, Tampa, FL D+2
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- South of Fifth, Miami Beach, FL R+6
- University North, Fort Collins, CO D+59
- Benjamin Hills, Wichita, KS Even
- Perrysburg Historic District, Perrysburg, OH D+4
- Carver, Waco, TX D+60
- Downtown Royal Oak, Royal Oak, MI D+46
- Jeff Davis, Richmond, VA D+58
- Airmont, Mobile, AL D+40
- Malone, Lincoln, NE D+38
- Long Branch Creek, Arlington, VA D+59
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.