The Trails leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 76% of adults in The Trails typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in The Trails, ~42% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How The Trails compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, The Trails leans more Democratic than 7 of 15 neighbors.
The Trails runs about 12 points more Democratic than Nevada as a whole. Nevada leans Republican overall, while The Trails is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why The Trails leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for The Trails, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in The Trails live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. The Trails runs against the grain of Nevada, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Developed land and Democratic lean
Places with a heavily developed built environment tend to lean Democratic; The Trails, Las Vegas, NV sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in The Trails looks the way it does
Turnout in The Trails sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Sun City Summerlin, Las Vegas, NV D+8
- Summerlin North, Las Vegas, NV D+5
- The Crossing, Las Vegas, NV D+6
- The Pueblo, Las Vegas, NV D+13
- Lone Mountain, Las Vegas, NV D+6
- The Vistas, Las Vegas, NV Even
- Desert Shores, Las Vegas, NV D+22
- Angel Park Lindell, Las Vegas, NV D+11
- Pioneer Park, Las Vegas, NV D+16
- The Paseos, Las Vegas, NV R+4
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Midtown, Tucson, AZ D+33
- Terra Nova, Chula Vista, CA D+14
- Creighton Village, Old Bridge, NJ R+24
- Somerville, Manchester, NH D+26
- Chevy Chase, Glendale, CA D+3
- Riverside Rancho, Glendale, CA D+38
- Whisman Station, Mountain View, CA D+45
- Old North Sacramento, Sacramento, CA D+39
- Clifton Heights, Louisville, KY D+44
- Lakeview, Orem, UT R+18
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nevada Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.