Tierra Amarilla is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Tierra Amarilla typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tierra Amarilla, ~25% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tierra Amarilla compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tierra Amarilla sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 8 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 1 leaning the other way.
Politically, Tierra Amarilla sits close to the rest of New Mexico.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tierra Amarilla. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+38) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+4), a spread of about 41 points.
Why Tierra Amarilla leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Tierra Amarilla. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Tierra Amarilla, NM sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Tierra Amarilla looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Tierra Amarilla is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 20% of homes in Tierra Amarilla have more than one occupant per room, in the top fraction of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Tierra Amarilla sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ensenada, NM R+2
- Los Ojos, NM R+2
- Rutheron, NM R+2
- Las Nutrias, NM R+6
- Chama, NM Even
- Canjilon, NM R+7
- Monero, NM D+33
- Vallecitos, NM D+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Parker, ID R+76
- Malmo, NE R+55
- Makinen, MN R+6
- Rochester, KY R+64
- Roaches, IL R+64
- Bynum, TX R+74
- Canby, CA R+51
- Locust Hill, NC R+22
- Thida, AR R+68
- Lillard, TX R+77
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.