Tobin Hill, San Antonio, TX Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Tobin Hill

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Tobin Hill leans heavily Democratic by roughly 40 points: about 70% of voters vote Democratic and 30% Republican.

 

About 52% of adults in Tobin Hill typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tobin Hill, ~37% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Tobin Hill compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Tobin Hill leans more Democratic than 30 of 38 neighbors.

Tobin Hill runs about 54 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Tobin Hill is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Tobin Hill. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+50) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+32), a spread of about 17 points.

Why Tobin Hill leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tobin Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Tobin Hill votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Tobin Hill runs about 54 points more Democratic. Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting, and non-Hispanic white share in Tobin Hill is about 35%, about 38 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 51% of adults in Tobin Hill have never been married, above 83% of neighborhoods.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Tobin Hill, San Antonio, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Tobin Hill looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 81% of households in Tobin Hill rent, about 56 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Tobin Hill sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.