Ladera Ranch is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Ladera Ranch typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ladera Ranch, ~39% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ladera Ranch compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ladera Ranch sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 16 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 32 leaning the other way.
Ladera Ranch runs about 21 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Ladera Ranch sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ladera Ranch. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+9) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+8), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Ladera Ranch leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ladera Ranch, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Ladera Ranch votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Ladera Ranch runs about 21 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Ladera Ranch, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Ladera Ranch looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Ladera Ranch is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Ladera Ranch have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- San Juan Capistrano, CA R+4
- Laguna Niguel, CA Even
- Mission Viejo, CA R+3
- Coto de Caza, CA R+16
- Laguna Hills, CA D+2
- Aliso Viejo, CA D+11
- Rancho Santa Margarita, CA R+2
- Dana Point, CA R+3
- Top-of-the-World, CA D+5
- Laguna Woods, CA D+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Montclair, NJ D+73
- Menasha, WI Even
- Alabaster, AL R+27
- Orchards, WA Even
- West Melbourne, FL R+21
- Malvern, PA D+20
- Oak Forest, IL Even
- Takoma Park, MD D+77
- Paris, TX R+30
- Ottumwa, IA R+20
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.