Carondelet is a Democratic stronghold. About 75% of voters here vote Democratic and 25% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Carondelet typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carondelet, ~35% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carondelet compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Carondelet leans more Democratic than 7 of 21 neighbors.
Carondelet runs about 69 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Carondelet is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Carondelet. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+62) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+37), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Carondelet leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carondelet, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Carondelet votes against the grain of Missouri. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Carondelet runs about 69 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 56% of adults in Carondelet have never been married, above 89% of neighborhoods.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Carondelet, St. Louis, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Carondelet looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 30% of adults in Carondelet report food insecurity, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 16%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Carondelet sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Holly Hills, St. Louis, MO D+40
- Mount Pleasant, St. Louis, MO D+61
- Dutchtown, St. Louis, MO D+64
- Boulevard Heights, St. Louis, MO D+25
- Bevo Mill, St. Louis, MO D+40
- Princeton Heights, St. Louis, MO D+42
- Gravois Park, St. Louis, MO D+72
- Tower Grove South, St. Louis, MO D+65
- South Hampton, St. Louis, MO D+55
- Benton Park West, St. Louis, MO D+74
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- University of NC at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC D+72
- North Quinsigamond Village, Worcester, MA D+37
- Queensborough, Shreveport, LA D+84
- Southgate, Hayward, CA D+39
- Abbott McKinley, Buffalo, NY D+16
- Bronze Boot, Phoenix, AZ D+36
- Euclid-St Paul, St. Petersburg, FL D+18
- North Lamar, Austin, TX D+37
- Central City Santa Ana, Santa Ana, CA D+32
- Duncan Park, Lexington, KY D+68
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.