Wake County leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Wake County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wake County, ~53% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wake County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Wake County leans more Democratic than 12 of 14 neighbors.
Wake County runs about 31 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while Wake County is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Wake County. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+46) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+12), a spread of about 34 points.
Why Wake County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wake County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 58% of adults in Wake County hold a bachelor's degree, about 29 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Wake County sits in the top fifth on density (about 73%, above 92% of counties). Wake County runs against the grain of North Carolina, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Wake County, NC sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Wake County looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Wake County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 94% of adults in Wake County have completed high school, above 85% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Durham County, NC D+59
- Johnston County, NC R+21
- Franklin County, NC R+18
- Orange County, NC D+48
- Granville County, NC R+7
- Chatham County, NC R+3
- Harnett County, NC R+21
- Lee County, NC R+18
- Vance County, NC D+19
- Wilson County, NC D+11
Counties with Similar Populations
- Mecklenburg County, NC D+35
- Fairfax County, VA D+37
- Contra Costa County, CA D+36
- Salt Lake County, UT D+10
- Fulton County, GA D+46
- Collin County, TX R+6
- Montgomery County, MD D+52
- Pima County, AZ D+16
- Honolulu County, HI D+18
- Fresno County, CA D+3
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.