05405 is a Democratic stronghold. About 84% of voters here vote Democratic and 16% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 36% of adults in 05405 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 05405, ~30% vote Democratic, ~6% Republican, and ~64% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 05405 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 05405 leans more Democratic than 20 of 21 neighbors.
05405 runs about 35 points more Democratic than Vermont as a whole.
Why 05405 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 05405, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. More than 99% of adults in 05405 hold a bachelor's degree, about 72 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and more than 99% of adults in 05405 have never been married, in the top fraction of zip codes.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; 05405, VT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 05405 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. More than 99% of households in 05405 rent, about 75 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and more than 99% of adults in 05405 have completed high school, in the top fraction of zip codes. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 05405 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.