05439 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 38 points: about 69% of voters vote Democratic and 31% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 32% of adults in 05439 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 05439, ~22% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 05439 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 05439 leans more Democratic than 13 of 19 neighbors.
05439 runs about 6 points more Democratic than Vermont as a whole.
Why 05439 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 05439, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. More than 99% of adults in 05439 have never been married, far above similar-sized zip codes (around 35%).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 05439, VT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 05439 looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. 05439 sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.