05408 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 44 points: about 72% of voters vote Democratic and 28% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 76% of adults in 05408 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 05408, ~55% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 05408 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 05408 leans more Democratic than 19 of 22 neighbors.
05408 runs about 12 points more Democratic than Vermont as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 05408. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+56) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+29), a spread of about 27 points.
Why 05408 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 05408, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 55% of adults in 05408 hold a bachelor's degree, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 05408, VT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 05408 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 05408 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.