10804 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.
About 85% of adults in 10804 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10804, ~58% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10804 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10804 leans more Democratic than 77 of 134 neighbors.
10804 runs about 23 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10804. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+50) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+24), a spread of about 26 points.
Why 10804 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10804, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 85% of adults in 10804 hold a bachelor's degree, about 57 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 10804 sits in the top fifth on density (about 96%, above 92% of zip codes).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 10804, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 10804 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 10804 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 97% of households in 10804 own their home, compared to around 71% in nearby zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in 10804 have completed high school, above 94% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.