33972 leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 63% of adults in 33972 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33972, ~25% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33972 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33972 leans more Republican than 9 of 13 neighbors.
33972 runs about 8 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33972. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 24 points.
Why 33972 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33972, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33972 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 79%, well above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 74% of households in 33972 are family households, above 77% of zip codes.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 33972, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 33972 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33972 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 21%, about 6 points above the Florida average of 15%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.