19th Ward, Rochester, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in 19th Ward

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

19th Ward is a Democratic stronghold. About 89% of voters here vote Democratic and 11% Republican.

 

About 57% of adults in 19th Ward typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 19th Ward, ~51% vote Democratic, ~6% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How 19th Ward compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, 19th Ward leans more Democratic than 24 of 25 neighbors.

19th Ward runs about 65 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within 19th Ward. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+82) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+70), a spread of about 12 points.

Why 19th Ward leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 19th Ward, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 53% of adults in 19th Ward have never been married, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 29%.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 19th Ward, Rochester, NY sits above the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in 19th Ward looks the way it does

Turnout in 19th Ward sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.