East Tampa is a Democratic stronghold. About 83% of voters here vote Democratic and 17% Republican.
About 49% of adults in East Tampa typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Tampa, ~41% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Tampa compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, East Tampa leans more Democratic than 25 of 27 neighbors.
East Tampa runs about 80 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while East Tampa is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within East Tampa. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+72) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+52), a spread of about 20 points.
Why East Tampa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Tampa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
East Tampa votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while East Tampa runs about 80 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 50% of adults in East Tampa have never been married, above 82% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; East Tampa, Tampa, FL sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in East Tampa looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. East Tampa is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 40%, about 16 points below the Florida average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 83% of adults in East Tampa have completed high school, below 81% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and East Tampa sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Ybor City, Tampa, FL D+48
- Live Oaks Square, Tampa, FL D+69
- Tampa Heights, Tampa, FL D+53
- Old Seminol Heights, Tampa, FL D+36
- South Seminole Heights, Tampa, FL D+32
- Northeast, Tampa, FL D+68
- Channelside, Tampa, FL Even
- Seminole Heights, Tampa, FL D+31
- Riverside Heights, Tampa, FL D+21
- Downtown Tampa, Tampa, FL D+17
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Printers Row, Chicago, IL D+69
- Summerdale, Philadelphia, PA D+58
- Southwestern Outer Drive, Dearborn, MI D+3
- Loop, Chicago, IL D+57
- North Redlands, Redlands, CA D+6
- Burns Park, Ann Arbor, MI D+69
- Santa Clara, Eugene, OR D+19
- East Bloomington, Bloomington, MN D+36
- West Las Vegas, Las Vegas, NV D+52
- Rockdale, Atlanta, GA D+58
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.