23418 leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 82% of adults in 23418 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23418, ~33% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23418 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23418 leans more Republican than 16 of 21 neighbors.
23418 runs about 25 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 23418 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 23418 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 23418, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
23418 votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 23418 runs about 25 points more Republican.
Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 23418, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 23418 looks the way it does
Turnout in 23418 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.