33973 leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 43% of adults in 33973 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33973, ~26% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33973 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33973 leans more Democratic than 22 of 23 neighbors.
33973 runs about 34 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33973 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33973. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+30) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 19 points.
Why 33973 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33973, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 99% of residents in 33973 live in densely developed areas, about 62 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 51% of adults in 33973 have never been married, above 95% of zip codes. 33973 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 33973, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 33973 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33973 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 15 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 73% of households in 33973 rent, compared to around 29% in nearby zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 81% of adults in 33973 have completed high school, below 89% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.