Heart of Missoula is a Democratic stronghold. About 76% of voters here vote Democratic and 24% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Heart of Missoula typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Heart of Missoula, ~49% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Heart of Missoula compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Heart of Missoula leans more Democratic than 10 of 12 neighbors.
Heart of Missoula runs about 71 points more Democratic than Montana as a whole. Montana leans Republican overall, while Heart of Missoula is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Heart of Missoula. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+63) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+43), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Heart of Missoula leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Heart of Missoula, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Heart of Missoula votes against the grain of Montana. Montana leans Republican overall, while Heart of Missoula runs about 71 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 60% of adults in Heart of Missoula have never been married, above 93% of neighborhoods.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Heart of Missoula, Missoula, MT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Heart of Missoula looks the way it does
Turnout in Heart of Missoula sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- University District, Missoula, MT D+59
- Northside, Missoula, MT D+34
- Rose Park, Missoula, MT D+59
- Westside, Missoula, MT D+35
- Upper Rattlesnake, Missoula, MT D+47
- Emma Dickinson Orchard Homes, Missoula, MT D+31
- Lewis and Clark, Missoula, MT D+47
- Franklin To The Fort, Missoula, MT D+29
- Southgate Triangle, Missoula, MT D+26
- South 39th Street, Missoula, MT D+14
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Wyatt Street, Largo, FL D+8
- Hohokam Village, Mesa, AZ D+9
- Cherrydale, Arlington, VA D+57
- Lakewide, Oakland, CA D+75
- US Navy Little Creek Amphibious Base, Norfolk, VA D+7
- Sugar Pond Manor of Wellington, Wellington, FL R+6
- Victory Hills, Albuquerque, NM D+51
- Martin Luther King, Chattanooga, TN D+36
- West Gate, Austin, TX D+48
- Emerald Estates, Bakersfield, CA R+42
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.