Ashby leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Ashby typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ashby, ~29% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ashby compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ashby leans more Republican than 42 of 77 neighbors.
Ashby runs about 41 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Ashby is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Ashby leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ashby, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Ashby votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Ashby runs about 41 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Ashby are family households, above 85% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Ashby, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Ashby looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Ashby is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- White Post, VA R+16
- Milldale, VA R+32
- Stephens City, VA R+21
- Vaucluse, VA R+28
- Boyce, VA R+18
- Millwood, VA R+17
- Front Royal, VA R+30
- Linden, VA R+33
- Kernstown, VA R+25
- Middletown, VA R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gladstone, NE R+62
- Challenge-Brownsville, CA R+27
- Mount Hamill, IA R+46
- Catarina, TX Even
- Raworth, MS R+34
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.