Elvira leans heavily Democratic by roughly 40 points: about 70% of voters vote Democratic and 30% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Elvira typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elvira, ~32% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elvira compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Elvira leans more Democratic than 6 of 8 neighbors.
Elvira runs about 46 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Elvira is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Elvira leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elvira, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elvira votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Elvira runs about 46 points more Democratic.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Elvira, Summit, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Elvira looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Elvira is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 40%, about 14 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 35% of adults in Elvira report food insecurity, above 89% of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 75% of adults in Elvira have completed high school, below 91% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Sunnyside, Tucson, AZ D+40
- Midvale Park, Tucson, AZ D+35
- Cherry Avenue, Tucson, AZ D+33
- Bravo Park Lane, Tucson, AZ D+36
- Rancho Buena, Tucson, AZ D+32
- Wakefield, Tucson, AZ D+43
- Santa Cruz Southwest, Tucson, AZ D+32
- South Park, Tucson, AZ D+38
- Las Vistas, Tucson, AZ D+44
- Westside Development, Tucson, AZ D+27
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Old Seminol Heights, Tampa, FL D+36
- Cedar Hills, Cedar Rapids, IA D+20
- Crescent Hill, Louisville, KY D+46
- Avalon Highlands, Chicago, IL D+84
- Kirkwood, Coralville, IA D+52
- Mount Washington, Pittsburgh, PA D+40
- East English Village, Detroit, MI D+83
- Bagley Downs, Vancouver, WA D+20
- Metro Center, Springfield, MA D+44
- South Beaverton, Beaverton, OR D+41
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.