Old Seminol Heights leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Old Seminol Heights typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Old Seminol Heights, ~43% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Old Seminol Heights compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Old Seminol Heights leans more Democratic than 17 of 26 neighbors.
Old Seminol Heights runs about 49 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Old Seminol Heights is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Old Seminol Heights. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+49) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+30), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Old Seminol Heights leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Old Seminol Heights, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Old Seminol Heights votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Old Seminol Heights runs about 49 points more Democratic.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Old Seminol Heights, Tampa, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Old Seminol Heights looks the way it does
Turnout in Old Seminol Heights sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Crescent Hill, Louisville, KY D+46
- Elvira, Summit, AZ D+40
- Avalon Highlands, Chicago, IL D+84
- Mount Washington, Pittsburgh, PA D+40
- Cedar Hills, Cedar Rapids, IA D+20
- Bagley Downs, Vancouver, WA D+20
- South Beaverton, Beaverton, OR D+41
- East English Village, Detroit, MI D+83
- Kirkwood, Coralville, IA D+52
- Metro Center, Springfield, MA D+44
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.