Baychester is a Democratic stronghold. About 75% of voters here vote Democratic and 25% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Baychester typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baychester, ~38% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baychester compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Baychester leans more Democratic than 33 of 38 neighbors.
Baychester runs about 38 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Baychester. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+77) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 75 points.
Why Baychester leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baychester, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Baychester live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Baychester, Bronx, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Baychester looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 7% of homes in Baychester have more than one occupant per room, above 84% of neighborhoods. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Baychester sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Williamsbridge, Bronx, NY D+47
- Country Club, Bronx, NY D+66
- Morris Park, Bronx, NY Even
- Bronxdale, Bronx, NY D+31
- Eastchester, Bronx, NY D+63
- Wakefield-Williamsbridge, Bronx, NY D+73
- Van Nest, Bronx, NY D+19
- Parkchester, Bronx, NY D+35
- Middletown-Pelham Bay, Bronx, NY D+12
- Bedford Park, Bronx, NY D+33
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Fairhill, Philadelphia, PA D+59
- Abbott Loop, Anchorage, AK D+19
- Potomac West, Alexandria, VA D+60
- Creston, Grand Rapids, MI D+25
- Carroll Gardens, Brooklyn, NY D+74
- Five Points, Denver, CO D+59
- Oakland City, Atlanta, GA D+85
- Lakewood Heights, Atlanta, GA D+83
- Clearing, Chicago, IL D+6
- Capitol Hill, Denver, CO D+67
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.