Carroll Gardens is a Democratic stronghold. About 87% of voters here vote Democratic and 13% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Carroll Gardens typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carroll Gardens, ~58% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carroll Gardens compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Carroll Gardens leans more Democratic than 33 of 47 neighbors.
Carroll Gardens runs about 62 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Carroll Gardens. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+81) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+65), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Carroll Gardens leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carroll Gardens, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Carroll Gardens live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Carroll Gardens sits in the top quarter (about 77%, above 95% of neighborhoods).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Carroll Gardens, Brooklyn, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Carroll Gardens looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Carroll Gardens is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Columbia Street Waterfront District, Brooklyn, NY D+78
- Red Hook, Brooklyn, NY D+62
- Cobble Hill, Brooklyn, NY D+79
- Boerum Hill, Brooklyn, NY D+77
- Park Slope, Brooklyn, NY D+78
- Downtown Brooklyn, Brooklyn, NY D+79
- Greenwood, Brooklyn, NY D+62
- Brooklyn Heights, Brooklyn, NY D+75
- Fort Green, Brooklyn, NY D+78
- Dumbo, Brooklyn, NY D+76
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Oakland City, Atlanta, GA D+85
- Clearing, Chicago, IL D+6
- Abbott Loop, Anchorage, AK D+19
- Potomac West, Alexandria, VA D+60
- Fairhill, Philadelphia, PA D+59
- Woodlawn, Chicago, IL D+82
- Central Colorado City, Colorado Springs, CO D+17
- Baychester, Bronx, NY D+51
- Old Northwest-West University, Reno, NV D+26
- Creston, Grand Rapids, MI D+25
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.