Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace, ~25% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace leans more Republican than 1 of 30 neighbors.
Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace runs about 5 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+22), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 84%, well above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace, FL sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 52% of households in Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace rent, compared to around 19% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Orange Park, FL R+23
- Lakeside, FL R+28
- Oakleaf Plantation, FL D+7
- Fleming Island, FL R+34
- Russell, FL R+48
- Fruit Cove, FL R+30
- Middleburg, FL R+46
- Jacksonville, FL R+8
- Asbury Lake, FL R+48
- Magnolia Springs, FL R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Smithfield, RI Even
- Fort Gratiot, MI R+25
- Van Wert, OH R+48
- Saraland, AL R+50
- Greece, NY Even
- Channahon, IL R+25
- Greencastle, IN R+35
- Justice, IL D+4
- Atmore, AL R+16
- Hopatcong, NJ R+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.