Castlewood Park leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Castlewood Park typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Castlewood Park, ~32% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Castlewood Park compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Castlewood Park leans more Democratic than 1 of 19 neighbors.
Castlewood Park runs about 46 points more Democratic than Kentucky as a whole. Kentucky leans Republican overall, while Castlewood Park is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Castlewood Park. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+25) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Castlewood Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Castlewood Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Castlewood Park live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. Castlewood Park runs against the grain of Kentucky, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Developed land and Democratic lean
Places with a heavily developed built environment tend to lean Democratic; Castlewood Park, Lexington, KY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Castlewood Park looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. Castlewood Park sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 78% of adults in Castlewood Park have completed high school, below 88% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Duncan Park, Lexington, KY D+68
- Kenawood-Rockwood, Lexington, KY D+9
- Fairway-Liberty Heights, Lexington, KY D+43
- Eastland Park-Dixie Plantation, Lexington, KY D+17
- Downtown Lexington, Lexington, KY D+55
- Marriott's Griffin Gate Golf Culb, Lexington, KY D+57
- Mount Vernon-Hollywood-Montclair, Lexington, KY D+54
- Chevy Chase-Ashland Park, Lexington, KY D+44
- University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY D+52
- Virginia Ave, Lexington, KY D+41
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Avalon Park Village, Alafaya, FL Even
- Hartley, Lincoln, NE D+36
- Ventura, Orlando, FL D+11
- Miller Creek, Missoula, MT D+3
- Brookside Glen, Chicago, IL D+47
- Slater Park, Charlotte, NC D+76
- East Somerville, Somerville, MA D+59
- Timber Ridge, San Antonio, TX D+15
- Bayou Oaks, Sarasota, FL D+17
- East Bluff, Peoria, IL D+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.