Virginia Ave, Lexington, KY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Virginia Ave

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Virginia Ave leans heavily Democratic by roughly 40 points: about 70% of voters vote Democratic and 30% Republican.

 

About 46% of adults in Virginia Ave typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Virginia Ave, ~33% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Virginia Ave compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Virginia Ave leans more Democratic than 15 of 22 neighbors.

Virginia Ave runs about 71 points more Democratic than Kentucky as a whole. Kentucky leans Republican overall, while Virginia Ave is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Virginia Ave. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+49) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+31), a spread of about 18 points.

Why Virginia Ave leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Virginia Ave, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Virginia Ave live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 91% of adults in Virginia Ave have never been married, in the top fraction of neighborhoods. Virginia Ave runs against the grain of Kentucky, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Virginia Ave, Lexington, KY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Virginia Ave looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Virginia Ave is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 12 points below the Kentucky average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 98% of households in Virginia Ave rent, compared to around 59% in nearby neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Virginia Ave sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.