Ventura leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 40% of adults in Ventura typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ventura, ~22% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ventura compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Ventura leans more Democratic than 5 of 14 neighbors.
Ventura runs about 24 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Ventura is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Ventura leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ventura, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Ventura votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Ventura runs about 24 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 49% of adults in Ventura have never been married, above 81% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Ventura, Orlando, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Ventura looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Ventura is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 24%, about 9 points above the Florida average of 15%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Lake Frederica, Orlando, FL D+19
- South Semoran, Orlando, FL D+13
- Englewood Park, Orlando, FL D+17
- Mariners Village, Orlando, FL D+5
- Conway, Orlando, FL R+4
- Hibiscus, Azalea Park, FL D+10
- Airport North, Orlando, FL D+21
- Woodlands-Orlando, Orlando, FL D+23
- Vista East, Orlando, FL D+4
- Wadeview Park, Orlando, FL D+15
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Hartley, Lincoln, NE D+36
- Castlewood Park, Lexington, KY D+16
- Avalon Park Village, Alafaya, FL Even
- Timber Ridge, San Antonio, TX D+15
- Bayou Oaks, Sarasota, FL D+17
- East Bluff, Peoria, IL D+57
- Brookside Glen, Chicago, IL D+47
- Miller Creek, Missoula, MT D+3
- South University, Eugene, OR D+74
- Riverside, Tempe, AZ D+42
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.