Catalina Foothills Estates, Catalina Foothills, AZ Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Catalina Foothills Estates

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Catalina Foothills Estates leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.

 

About 87% of adults in Catalina Foothills Estates typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Catalina Foothills Estates, ~56% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Catalina Foothills Estates compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Catalina Foothills Estates is the least Democratic-leaning.

Catalina Foothills Estates runs about 34 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Catalina Foothills Estates is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Catalina Foothills Estates. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+40) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+21), a spread of about 18 points.

Why Catalina Foothills Estates leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Catalina Foothills Estates, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 76% of adults in Catalina Foothills Estates hold a bachelor's degree, about 47 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Catalina Foothills Estates runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Food insecurity and voter turnout

Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Catalina Foothills Estates, Catalina Foothills, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.

Why turnout in Catalina Foothills Estates looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Catalina Foothills Estates is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 87% of households in Catalina Foothills Estates own their home, compared to around 28% in nearby neighborhoods. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Catalina Foothills Estates have completed high school, above 93% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.