Limberlost, Tucson, AZ Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Limberlost

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Limberlost leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican.

 

About 42% of adults in Limberlost typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Limberlost, ~28% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Limberlost compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Limberlost leans more Democratic than 2 of 16 neighbors.

Limberlost runs about 39 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Limberlost is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Limberlost. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+41) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+16), a spread of about 25 points.

Why Limberlost leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Limberlost, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Limberlost live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 54% of adults in Limberlost have never been married, above 87% of neighborhoods. Limberlost runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Limberlost, Tucson, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Limberlost looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Limberlost is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 7 points below the Arizona average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 77% of households in Limberlost rent, about 52 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Limberlost sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.