Chittenden County leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 76% of adults in Chittenden County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chittenden County, ~52% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Chittenden County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Chittenden County is the most Democratic-leaning.
Politically, Chittenden County sits close to the rest of Vermont.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Chittenden County. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+67) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 64 points.
Why Chittenden County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chittenden County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 58% of adults in Chittenden County hold a bachelor's degree, about 29 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 40% of adults in Chittenden County have never been married, above 93% of counties.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Chittenden County, VT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Chittenden County looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Chittenden County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Chittenden County have completed high school, above 97% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Grand Isle County, VT Even
- Lamoille County, VT D+7
- Franklin County, VT R+23
- Clinton County, NY R+5
- Addison County, VT D+23
- Washington County, VT D+19
- Essex County, NY R+5
- Orange County, VT Even
- Orleans County, VT R+17
- Caledonia County, VT R+9
Counties with Similar Populations
- Monroe County, PA Even
- Beaver County, PA R+19
- Pueblo County, CO Even
- Paulding County, GA R+20
- Greene County, OH R+17
- Aiken County, SC R+24
- Davidson County, NC R+36
- Kenton County, KY R+14
- Kenosha County, WI Even
- Wyandotte County, KS D+26
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.