Ottawa is a Democratic stronghold. About 77% of voters here vote Democratic and 23% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Ottawa typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ottawa, ~42% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ottawa compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Ottawa leans more Democratic than 11 of 18 neighbors.
Ottawa runs about 66 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole. Ohio leans Republican overall, while Ottawa is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Ottawa. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+86) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+40), a spread of about 46 points.
Why Ottawa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ottawa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Ottawa votes against the grain of Ohio. Ohio leans Republican overall, while Ottawa runs about 66 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 60% of adults in Ottawa have never been married, above 93% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Ottawa, Toledo, OH sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Ottawa looks the way it does
Turnout in Ottawa sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- West Gate, Toledo, OH D+34
- Scott Park, Toledo, OH D+61
- Deaveaux, Toledo, OH D+23
- Roosevelt-Toledo, Toledo, OH D+89
- Onyx, Toledo, OH D+86
- Old West End, Toledo, OH D+75
- Five Points, Toledo, OH D+28
- Southside, Toledo, OH D+34
- Olde Towne, Toledo, OH D+70
- City Center, Toledo, OH D+58
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Great Kills, Staten Island, NY R+51
- Bay View, Milwaukee, WI D+51
- Getty Square, Yonkers, NY D+51
- Manayunk, Philadelphia, PA D+56
- North Westminster, Westminster, CO D+13
- Macdonald Ranch, Henderson, NV Even
- Playa del Ray, Playa Del Rey, CA D+43
- Citrus Grove, Glendale, CA D+5
- Girard Estates, Philadelphia, PA D+17
- Lea Hill, Auburn, WA D+17
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.