Dana Point is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Dana Point typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dana Point, ~39% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dana Point compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dana Point sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 15 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 22 leaning the other way.
Dana Point runs about 23 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Dana Point sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dana Point. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+12), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Dana Point leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dana Point, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dana Point votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Dana Point runs about 23 points more Republican.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Dana Point, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Dana Point looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Dana Point is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Dana Point have completed high school, above 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Capistrano Beach, CA R+9
- San Juan Capistrano, CA R+4
- Laguna Niguel, CA Even
- San Clemente, CA R+11
- Laguna Beach, CA D+14
- Ladera Ranch, CA Even
- Aliso Viejo, CA D+11
- Top-of-the-World, CA D+5
- Laguna Hills, CA D+2
- Laguna Woods, CA D+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Inkster, MI D+71
- Ashland, CA D+45
- Duarte, CA D+24
- Montrose Heights, VA D+52
- Clemson, SC D+6
- Wakefield, MA D+25
- Ridgewood, NJ D+25
- Maineville, OH R+25
- Denver, NC R+36
- District Heights, MD D+85
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.